 |
Author |
TOPIC: USPL Masters Madness |
|
| mdufault
September 20, 2017
11:53:23 AM
Entry #: 4231409
| As requested, here is the March Madness like breakdown for the Masters side.
I used runs for and against from the 20 regular season games as well as the 3 pool seeding games. The seed numbers I put below are based on won-loss records of the combined 23 games, and are just for reference.
Below are the win probabilities for Friday's quarterfinals.
1 Steve Tar (66%) vs. 5 Active Green & Ross (34%)
2 State Farm (32%) vs. 4 Parkway Honda (68%)
3 Sylvia Morris (75%) vs. 8 Village Grocer (25%)
6 The School (51%) vs. 7 Paul Love (49%)
Below are the probabilities for the entire tournament.
The first number is the probability of making the final (make it to the final day), and the second number is the probability of winning the title.
1 Steve Tar (38%, 24%)
2 State Farm (11%, 5%)
3 Sylvia Morris (52%, 27%)
4 Parkway Honda (37%, 23%)
5 Active Green & Ross (14%, 6%)
6 The School (19%, 7%)
7 Paul Love (17%, 6%)
8 Village Grocer (12%, 3%)
|
|
| JAG28
September 20, 2017
3:09:54 PM
Entry #: 4231433
| How much will i get if i put a $100 on Village Grocer
|
|
| Tony C
September 21, 2017
2:11:13 PM
Entry #: 4231499
| Thanks Marc,
Lots of fun reading your analyses of all the divisions.
Good luck to all in these playoffs,
|
|
| Yaya
September 21, 2017
2:12:53 PM
Entry #: 4231500
| Win or lose, the weekend will be exhilarating.
|
|
| Harry Package
September 21, 2017
2:44:35 PM
Entry #: 4231503
| ya-ya, ya-ya, ya-ya, ya-ya-yaaaa...!
|
|
| Tony C
September 22, 2017
11:44:42 PM
Entry #: 4231618
| Tonight's quarterfinal knockout results:
Steve Tar over Active Green & Ross
State Farm over Parkway Honda
Village Grocer over Sylvia Morris
The School over Paul Love
|
|
| Birkey
September 23, 2017
5:41:29 AM
Entry #: 4231630
| A few surprises, that is why you play the games.
|
|
| mdufault
September 23, 2017
10:09:50 AM
Entry #: 4231642
| Thanks Tony for the updates.
Here are the win probabilities for Saturday's semi-finals.
1 Steve Tar (69%) vs. 2 State Farm (31%)
6 The School (56%) vs. 8 Village Grocer (44%)
Below are the probabilities of winning the title
1 Steve Tar (50%)
2 State Farm (18%)
3 Sylvia Morris (5th-8th)
4 Parkway Honda (5th-8th)
5 Active Green & Ross (5th-8th)
6 The School (19%)
7 Paul Love (5th-8th)
8 Village Grocer (13%)
Best of luck to the remaining teams.
|
|
| Tony C
September 23, 2017
8:05:37 PM
Entry #: 4231671
| The School beat Steve Tar.
State Farm beat Village Grocer
So it is The School vs State Farm in finals Sunday 2PM at Crosby
|
|
| Tony C
September 23, 2017
8:10:00 PM
Entry #: 4231672
| Sorry, above post was incorrect.
The results of today's semi-final Masters games were:
The School beat Village Grocer
State Farm beat Steve Tar
So it is The School vs State Farm in finals Sunday 2PM at Crosby
|
|
| mdufault
September 23, 2017
10:13:16 PM
Entry #: 4231677
| The finals are set.
2 State Farm (54%) vs. 6 The School (46%)
Goodluck in the finals boys.
1 Steve Tar (3rd-4th)
2 State Farm (54%)
3 Sylvia Morris (5th-8th)
4 Parkway Honda (5th-8th)
5 Active Green & Ross (5th-8th)
6 The School (46%)
7 Paul Love (5th-8th)
8 Village Grocer (3rd-4th)
|
|
| daump
September 26, 2017
11:13:03 PM
Entry #: 4231862
| State Farm only had a 11% of winning. Against all odd they won. The numbers can lie.
|
|
| tuck00
September 27, 2017
12:24:58 PM
Entry #: 4231899
| Numbers are only probabilities ....... when you play the game the results are evident. Respect to DST and State for the championship wins.
|
|
| MBA89
September 28, 2017
6:57:57 PM
Entry #: 4232017
| I kept hoping that State Farm would cool off at some point last weekend and they did not appease. All those dinky hits that fell in early in the game were bouncing off of the gloves for the School players. Congrats to both teams.
Only saw the final game, DST were able to go on one of their inevitable runs to put away another trophy, impressive to state the obvious.
Have a great winter all.
|
|
| Fureza
September 30, 2017
4:15:28 PM
Entry #: 4232124
| Not sure how it happened, congrats to State Farm.
|
|
| Mr. October
October 1, 2017
11:15:44 PM
Entry #: 4232180
| SF put together a good few games to take the title, no one can take it away from them now.
|
|
| Yaya
October 6, 2017
8:17:29 AM
Entry #: 4232488
| Are we expanding to ten games next year?
|
|
| JAG 28
October 6, 2017
4:17:21 PM
Entry #: 4232532
| Yaya, 10 games is too many for me
|
|
| Yaya
October 7, 2017
10:01:21 AM
Entry #: 4232581
| My bad, ten teams.
|
|
| Eau55
October 8, 2017
6:45:13 PM
Entry #: 4232653
| Expansion would've a great thing for all of us.
|
|
| Medi
October 9, 2017
3:02:27 PM
Entry #: 4232714
| 10 teams would be better for all of us.
|
|
| Blumpkin
October 11, 2017
10:00:31 AM
Entry #: 4232818
| Ten teams would break the monotony of playing the same teams over and over again .
|
|
| Bigelow
October 12, 2017
5:51:07 PM
Entry #: 4232917
| The move to ten teams would be a progressive move for all of the Masters league players. I can't think of any negative ramifications.
|
|
| Fureza
October 14, 2017
11:34:34 AM
Entry #: 4233007
| I am a proponent of protecting some guys and drafting the others this is how we can move forward with 10 teams. I can't wait for 2018, to play and meet new guys.
|
|
| silverfox
October 15, 2017
6:19:52 PM
Entry #: 4233090
| Protecting a few and drafting others is definitely the way to go.
|
|
| Yaya
October 16, 2017
1:15:03 PM
Entry #: 4233145
| That is a model that works for everyone.
|
|
| Single malt
October 16, 2017
9:30:48 PM
Entry #: 4233170
| You don't always get what you wish for, you get what you what the majority decides. That is the basis of the survey.
|
|
| Matches
October 17, 2017
6:59:38 PM
Entry #: 4233209
| Good point!
|
|
| Badia
October 19, 2017
8:57:07 PM
Entry #: 4233308
| Let's push forward to ten.
|
|
| MI5
October 23, 2017
7:55:56 PM
Entry #: 4233546
| 10 teams may be perceived as aggressive but it can be a reality, lots of older guys are looking to play or expand their ball stats
|
|
| Eau55
October 24, 2017
5:52:16 PM
Entry #: 4233585
| A perfect 10.
|
|
| Ethos71
October 25, 2017
11:32:09 AM
Entry #: 4233626
| How many players are moving up to the masters division from the young guys
|
|
| Bubbler
October 26, 2017
8:26:04 PM
Entry #: 4233719
| Expansion ensures that teams will be more equal and all games will be contested.
|
|
| Vin Tage
October 28, 2017
8:27:20 AM
Entry #: 4233816
| In a unscientific poll conducted by myself from about July on, with guys from around the league I hear this to be the prevailing thoughts.
Let's expand to ten teams, let's keeps parts of the team together, let's meet new guys and old farts like us should play ball with smiles on our faces.
|
|
| Fureza
October 29, 2017
7:36:18 PM
Entry #: 4233901
| Reads like a solid plan to move toward with two more teams
|
|
| Larry))
October 30, 2017
11:13:28 PM
Entry #: 4233949
|
Just because you have a bad morning, doesn't mean you have to have a bad day or if your team has a average regular season doesn't mean you get win the championship.
|
|
| tuck00
November 2, 2017
6:55:06 PM
Entry #: 4234087
| Any team can win on any day.
|
|
| Medi
November 5, 2017
12:18:47 AM
Entry #: 4234281
| This is what makes our sport so great! U CAN NOT count any team out of ANY night. Anyone can win on any given game.
|
|
| LB4LB
November 8, 2017
1:43:36 PM
Entry #: 4234610
| Success doesn't happen overnight. It is the result of numerous small efforts taken over time.
|
|
| Badia
November 11, 2017
9:15:24 AM
Entry #: 4234895
| AGM topics.....
Drain the swamp, increase league fees, repeal the HR rule, fight special rules and change to double headers....
This is why so many people show up at this event.
|
| Yaya
November 13, 2017
11:25:13 PM
Entry #: 4235132
| Expansion will be a great plan for our league.
|
|
| silverfox
November 15, 2017
3:23:34 AM
Entry #: 4235222
| How was the meeting last night?
|
